In order to truly know the effects of human population growth on the world, we would have to trace it right back to the time when humans first appeared. This, however, is impossible due to the fact that a lot of this time in unaccounted for. For this reason, we will look at the time frame that us and our ancestors have been able to record.
The real population of Earth is still unknown to this day. Estimates, however, are much closer now than they were back thousands of years ago. This has a lot to do with technology and modern research. Birth rates are also always changing. It is estimated that they were 80/100 in 80 000 BC, 50/1000 in 1750 AD, and 23/1000 at the present. As you can see, these are dramatic changes. It would make you think the population id actually getting smaller, but those thoughts are deceiving. Population growth is occurring exponentially, which means there are many more thousands of people in the world to judge by. Another factor is that modern technology and advanced medicine have caused the survival rate to dramatically increase. (C. Haub 2002)
Concern over this increase has abated somewhat as birthrates have fallen right across the world. This may be true, but we are still a long way away from stabilizing. This is estimated to occur at somewhere between eight and eleven billion.
Many experts are concerned that the earth’s carrying capacity is already over-strained. This leads to other worries such as greenhouse gas emissions. Over-population will put a lot of strain on the earth’s natural systems. (T. Obaid 2003)
As our population increases, so does the demand we put on our natural resources. More is needed to keep everyone alive and happy. Farmers and fishermen are pressured into dangerously over-exploiting fragile ecosystems, urbanization increases rapidly, and certain land structures are being totally destroyed. As the world grows rapidly, it causes unplanned settlements to spring up. This leads to things being done in a hurry, with little thought and care put into it. It causes poor sanitation and a lack of clean water. It also causes a lot of air pollution.
With an increase in people, there comes an increased need for jobs. That may be ok in newly developing countries, but in already highly industrialized countries with under-employment, it can be a major problem. You need a job in order to have money, and you need money in order to survive. So if there are no jobs, your chance of survival is pretty slim.
Human population growth also has effects or other organisms. About 27 000 plant, animal and insect species become extinct every year. About 24 percent of mammals and 12 percent of birds are currently regarded as globally threatened. Most of these extinctions can be traced to human contribution. Everything from the water to the forests are being affected. (E. Wilson 2003)
Poverty is also a big effect of over-population. As the amount of people increase, so does the demand for food and shelter. In order to produce food, more land is needed for farming. This destroys habitats for other organisms. More land is also needed for shelter. If you take the land for shelter, that decreases the amount of land left for farming. Either way, you can’t use all the land. If you did, many important ecosystems would be destroyed, and that would have a major effect on the world. Even the loss of one organism can have a major effect. Mother nature created the world so that everything has a purpose. If we cut down all the trees, there would be little oxygen left to breath. If we contaminated all the water, there would be little left to replenish our bodies. All of these things have to be taken into consideration.
Another big concern of population growth is global warming. During the 1960's a succession of bitterly cold winters in the northern hemisphere led climatologists to predict that the world was heading for another ice age. This led to a major concern of global cooling. By the mid-70's however, climate experts realized that average global temperature was actually increasing. Since then, global warming has become a major issue of concern. (People and the Planet 2003)
Some scientists have speculated that global warming could lead to the wiping out of the Amazon rainforest, and the melting of the polar ice caps. This would cause sea levels to dramatically rise. It may also cause tropical diseases such as malaria to spread to temperate climates. This increase in temperature has been identified as a result of human activities. There is no knowledge of what measures are needed to be taken to slow or reverse this process.
The greenhouse effect is caused by a blanket of water vapour and greenhouse gases about the earth. The gases are mostly carbon dioxide, methane and nitrous oxide. These gases help tp trap some of the sun’s radiation as it bounces off the surface of the earth. The natural greenhouse effect has enabled life to develop on earth in the complexity that it has. Without it, the planet would be 30EC colder. Due to the increase in industrialization, the amount of greenhouse gas has dramatically risen. This is causing more heat to be trapped, causing a warming of the atmosphere.
The main gas is carbon dioxide. This is produced by burning fossil fuels.
Concentrations of it in the air have risen by a third. At the rate we are going, by 2030, carbon dioxide concentrations will have doubled. The burning of fossil fuels seems to be constantly increasing. This is due to industrialization, and more people driving cars.
Another major greenhouse gas is methane. Scientists have suggested that it traps heat 30 times more efficiently than carbon dioxide. Over the past two centuries, methane concentrations have more than doubled. It comes mainly from harvesting rice. It also comes from pipe leaks and cattle flatulence. (People and the Planet 2003)
If global warming continues, it cam have devastating effects on the earth. The Arctic ice cap is already starting to melt. The depth of it has shrunk about 40% in the past few decades. If this melting continues, it is estimated that the sea levels will rise by between 0.09 and 0.88 meters by 2100. Even a half-meter sea rise would be devastating to many low rise islands, especially in the Pacific.
Global warming will cause massive flooding, greater spread of disease (better living conditions for the bacteria), and a major economic downfall. Tourism rates will fall, and farming will be harder due to an increase in pests. (Climate Change 2003)
Scientists are looking for a possible solution to this problem. Although the process is going rather slow, no one has stopped looking for progress. A major factor in solving this problem stems from the Kyoto Accord. Kyoto has put strains on countries to reduce gas emissions over a period of time. This may give the atmosphere some time to replenish. Many environmentalists argue that the cuts are much to small to make any significant difference, but whether they realize it or not, every little action, no matter how big or small, makes a difference. After all, you can’t quit anything cold turkey without having major consequences.
Many countries are against the Kyoto Accord because it will has major economic effects on them. This is true. Car companies and many other industries will see a decrease in business, which will cause a certain degree of poverty, but if we look for other ways to create energy, maybe this can be counteracted. Kyoto isn’t asking that countries totally give up gas emissions, but only to decrease them. Unless countries comply with this, we will never know if it would work or not. (S. Mehanna 2001)
There are ways we can help to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. The major issue is to reduce the burning of fossil fuels. We can do this by switching to other sources of energy such as solar and wind power. Countries also have to try and improve the fuel efficiency in cars.
Although many people would like to abolish the thought of global warming, it is there, and it’s time we do something about it.
The depletion of the ozone layer and the protection of coral reefs and rainforest have become very popular in Egypt. They have realized that it has become a major problem, and are worried about the effects it will have on their country. The major concerns are that of immediate environmental degradation, such as garbage, sewage, and noise pollution. Just think about it. As the population increases, so does the amount of sewage being released. This leads to contaminated water and many diseases. How would you like our oceans to turn into sess-pools of filth and sludge. It doesn’t paint a pretty picture. This is reason enough to make people want to do what they can. (N. Hopkins 2001)
The degradation of the ozone layer has also had a big impact on the earths functions. It’s designed to protect all life from the sun’s harmful radiation. Human activities however, have majorly damaged it. There is now less protection from ultraviolet rays, and over time, it will lead to higher skin cancer and cataract rates. It will also result in major crop damage. Many countries are trying to phase out the production of ozone-depleting substances. It has become a major world issue.
The Earth’s atmosphere is divided into several parts. The harmful substances are produced in the troposphere, where virtually all human activities take place. Some are also produced in the stratosphere, where planes usually fly.
Ozone is composed of three oxygen atoms in a molecule. It is blue in colour and has a strong odor. Normal oxygen has only two oxygen atoms, and is colorless and odorless. This is what we breathe. Out of each 10 million air molecules, about two million are normal oxygen, and only three are ozone. This small amount still plays a major role in the atmosphere.
Many countries are now taking action to reduce ozone depleting substances. CFC’s and aerosol use is majorly reduced. These were very effective products, but were found to be too harmful to the ozone layer. This is a major step in solving the problem. (U.S. Environment Protection Agency 2002)
Although there are no real answers to these problems, many actions are being taken to try and preserve our environment. The solution may be far a way, but it is coming, as long as there are people in the world those still cares. Over-population is a major problem, but it is possible to be controlled. Technology and education are preparing people for the dramatic changes, and it possible to win this treacherous battle. After all, our worst enemy is ourselves.